Work package 1: Data Management Plan and crop modelling
Description
Work package 1 took existing knowledge and data from recent and ongoing national, European and international phenotyping and genotyping projects, combining past data analyses with novel mining of pre-existing datasets. In addition, the expertise of stakeholders and partners was also included to select relevant panels of genotypes, and decide the restricted range of combined stresses and management innovations to test in various pedo-climatic zones of Europe, and to be used in other work packages. Work package 1 used Crop Simulation Models (CSM) to explore the probability of the occurrence of present-day stress scenarios that were assessed in other work packages, as well as alternative scenarios that represent future conditions as related to climate change. Finally, work package 1 designed the Data Management Plan (DMP), promoting data sharing at the various steps of SolACE implementation, as well as ensuring data quality and inter-comparisons through the definition of standardized protocols for data collection and processing.
Objectives
- Development of standard protocols for the data collection in a range of experiments and environments.
- Development of a protocol for data mining, sharing, and harmonisation within SolACE.
- In silico definition of appropriate management strategies to be tested in SolACE and quantification of the impacts of projected climate on the SolACE’s results across Europe.
Key results and messages
- A protocol for data collection enabling data sharing and modelling has been developed and is available for others to use.
- A SolACE dataset exists in a machine-readable format and is available for future modelling activities beyond the project
- Initial modelling has shown that nitrogen management in wheat differs from north to south in Europe since wheat response to nitrogen is highly dependent on water availability.
- Modelling of future climate scenarios for both wheat and potatoes shows a variable response to climate change across Europe, with some regions having increased potential yield while others can expect a strong decline in yield.
- Potential benefits on production in some regions will only be realised and the severe declines in other regions avoided if biological stresses are considered and sustainable sources of irrigation water and nitrogen are identified.
- Adaptation to climate change is feasible in most cases, under moderate warming conditions, but with severe warming it is very difficult to combat the impacts of climate change and mitigation is imperative.
- With the correct (regionally specific) policy intervention modelling results can help us achieve potential positive impacts of climate change and avoid the worst of the negative effects under moderate climate change effects.
Resources
Policy briefs
Videos
- YouTube.com: SolACE Stakeholder Workshop: Future Proofing in a Changing Climate: Modelling Farming Scenarios
Public deliverables
- zenodo.org: SolACE Handbook of protocols and methodology - Deliverable D1.1
- zenodo.org: Analysis of past research data - Deliverable D1.3
Journal articles
- onlinelibrary.wiley.com: Invited review: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, agriculture, and food—A case of shifting cultivation and history
- zenodo.org: Shared protocols and data template in agronomic trials
- zenodo.org: Understanding effects of genotype × environment × sowing window interactions for durum wheat in the Mediterranean basin
Work package leaders
- Tim George, JHI, Work package leader
- Pierre Martre, INRAE-LEPSE, Work package co-leader